After back-to-back losses, the Titans welcome the Jaguars, a division opponent they have dominated in recent years. Tennessee has won the last five meetings of the series, beating Jacksonville 57-19 in its two meetings in 2021.
Surprisingly, the spread is pretty tight. The Titans, one of the best teams in the NFL against the spread, are favored by little more than a field goal against Jacksonville, which has been trading in wins and losses over the past month.
The Jaguars lost 40-14 en route to the Lions last week. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence injured his foot late in the first half but fell out again in the final two quarters of the blowout. Jacksonville has been competitive in their last three games, recording wins over the Raiders and Ravens during that stretch.
Tennessee just suffered its worst loss of the season in Philadelphia, 35-10, and came up short against the Bengals the week before. Thanks to the Colts’ crushing defeat on Sunday night, the Titans still have a healthy lead as the first-place team in the AFC South.
Jaguars vs Titans Odds
money line: Jacksonville (+155) | Tennessee (-188)
Spread: JAX +3.5 (-110) | TEN -3.5 (-110)
In total: 41.5 – About (-110) | Under (-110)
Jaguar’s straight-up record: 4-8
Jaguars against the spread record: 4-8
Titan’s straight-up record: 7-5
Titans vs. Spread Record: 8-4
Bet on Jaguars Titans at SI Sportsbook
The Titans rank in the bottom third of the league in scores (18.3 ppg) and their top weapon, Derrick Henry, has been bottled in their back-to-back losses. Henry, the NFL’s third-leading rusher, has accumulated just 68 total yards on the ground over the past two weeks. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill doesn’t do much to level up the running game when it falls flat — the passing attack averages the third fewest yards in the league and Tannehill threw just 141 yards against the Eagles.
Tennessee’s defense is a different story. It allows for the 11th fewest points per game (20) and the third fewest rushing yards (83.1). But you can beat this unit through the air as it allows the second most passing yards (276.7) in the league.
Jacksonville’s offense ranks 17th overall (21.5 ppg) and is one of the better running units in the NFL (127.4 yards per game). The team struggled to move the ball against Detroit, but Lawrence threw for 321 yards against the Ravens the week before. Travis Etienne was returning from an injury he picked up against the Ravens but only had 66 yards after a few plays with a fumble.
The Jaguars are also in midfield on defense (22.7 ppg allowed). Expect both offenses to find big hits in the air as Jacksonville also ranks in the bottom five in passing yards allowed (255.5).
Odds and Betting Insights
The Titans are 0-2 against the distribution in their last two games, having covered in each of their previous eight games. The over is 4-8 in Tennessee games this season but 2-1 over the last three. The Jaguars are 1-5 against the spread as a street underdog. The over is 6-6 in Jacksonville games this year.
Every week during the NFL season, bettors can enter SI Sportsbook’s free Perfect 10 competition. The weekly game requires bettors to make 10 selections against the spread for a chance at a share of a $10,000 prize. Any bettor who guesses at least six games correctly will receive consolation prizes in the form of free bets.
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